This is a subject that I have been meditating on for quite some time now.
I hear and read about the alleged decline in participation in HG, and how PG is thriving.
Any un-biased observer should be able to see why wanna-be pilots find PG more attractive than HG. Standing around in the Andy Jackson Memorial International Airpark at a busy fly-in shows that a PG landing is a total non-event, while everyone stands up to watch HG's, piloted by "experts", come in to land. A good landing by a HG is greeted by cheers, an acknowledgement that landing one successfully is a demonstration not just of skill, but good luck as well.
A "blown launch" in a PG rarely results in anything more than getting dirty and having to untangle a bunch of string from bushes. With a HG, there is a lot of risk for injury and expensive damage to equipment.
There are many who support the status quo. They like to point out that all you have to do is be careful. And practice a lot. The list is long and and I'm simply not willing to go any further into it.
This post is only the opinion of one pilot, and yet it is the opinion of a pilot aged 63 with 39 years in HG, and so I believe has some validity. But that's your choice to agree or not.
My opinion, simply stated, is that we really oughta "back up and regroup".
By that I mean take a good long critical look at our technology, calmly analyze it, and see if we can't find a place in our history where taking a different path might have made a difference in the situation we find ourselves in today. If we can do that, we can consider ways to improve the technology in such a manner as to possibly slow if not reverse the decline, if it exists. I believe it does.
I'm neither Psychologist or Engineer, but I am "mechanically inclined", and like many my age I've become familiar with the "Human Condition". So I believe I can make some statements that have some credibility.
Possibly the best place to start is with the List of Priorities that we use to design a foot-launchable flying apparatus. This would apply to both disciplines now enjoyed, or endured, as you see fit to state it. Likely a bit of both will be the consensus.
There appears to be a lot of effort directed towards creating an open-air foot launchable sailplane. It can be argued that expanding the performance envelope in that direction has succeeded in contracting other envelopes.
Some of you will recall the preface to The Last Whole Earth Catalog, by Stewart Brand. A partial quote: "....has succeeded to the point where the gross defects obscure the actual gains....". I contend that Hg design evolution is a prime example of this. Our existing Priorities List is in need of a re-evaluation.
So how should we re-arrange the priorities list? Well, here's where we need to study the paraglider. How do PG's differ from HG's? First off we notice how extremely lightweight and compact they are in comparison. And then let's look at the performance envelope, where we can readily see that the "high-speed flat-glide angle" just barely exists, and in comparison to high-performance HG's it doesn't even exist at all. And yet the PG's are kicking butt, especially in the aerobatics department, and at many flying sites are doing quite well in the XC arena. Perhaps we can apply "Freakonomics" here. Could it be that the ability to pull off a safe landing almost anywhere actually trumps high-speed flat-glide angle?
Well, yes and no. I think the current open-distance record for HG stands at 475 miles, while for PG it's less than half of that. But these record setting pilots represent only a very small percentage of the pilot population as a whole. I know that most of the flyers in my club rarely venture more than a couple dozen miles from the fishbowl, and depending on your definition of that fishbowl, many never even leave it at all. And the most popular XC destination, a local airport, features a landing spot in the shade of a micro-brewery. Go figure...
Gotta go see the chiropractor. Most of my HG's weigh close to 70 lbs. I wonder if the PG crowd needs bone-crushing on a regular basis.... Anyway, I'm far from finished with this post/rant/ philosophizing.....