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Weekend Weather

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Re: Weekend Weather

Postby RobinHastings » Fri Jul 21, 2017 7:38 am

FRIDAY, JULY 21 through SUNDAY, JULY 23:
It could be flyable this weekend, especially at Dry Canyon. But bring an umbrella. (Wait - isn't that what we're flying under?) Temperatures are a whole lot nicer than they were a few weeks ago, with daily highs around 90 degrees F. Winds are mostly south/southeast, but in Alamogordo, south/southwest, and moderate to light in strength. Looking good for Dry Canyon! Except for the daily thunderstorms, that is. It looks like we're going to have a lot of those this weekend. Now, usually they build up in the afternoon, so you might try to fly by late morning or by noon. On Sunday, with a southeasterly flow, Anapra might work in El Paso for PG's, or even Torrey Paso. And towing at Hwy 9 and the Sod Farms should be OK, as long as the storms don't pay a visit. Watch out for outflows from these storms, and of course the lightning, rain and general chaos associated with them. Good luck! I may hold off on flying until early next week when the rainfall chances are reduced. Be safe!
-Robin
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Re: Weekend Weather

Postby RobinHastings » Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:56 am

FRIDAY, JULY 28 through SUNDAY, JULY 30:
Not a bad weekend for flying, if you're at the right site. Summary: It looks like we'll be dry this weekend, warm but not roasting (high temps in the range of 90 degrees F) and light winds throughout. (Look for some strong rains late next week, however, according to the GFS model.) On Friday expect light winds that are south/southwest in Las Cruces, east in El Paso, and southwest in Alamogordo. On that day I'd expect some flying at Dry Canyon and La Luz, possibly Torrey Paso and Anapra for PG, and Matt's Mountain (Magdalena Rim) for PG's late in the day. (I think I proved on Tuesday that light winds at Mag Rim lead to hang glider sled rides there.) On Saturday it looks to me that the winds get even lighter. They should be southeast in Las Cruces, east/northeast in El Paso, and southerly in Alamogordo. Your best bet that day for foot launched flight is probably Dry Canyon. Maybe PG's can soar Anapra. For towing, go for the Sod Farm and Highway 9 in El Paso, and the Exit 16 site west of Las Cruces. They should both work pretty well, though winds will be light for towing up a hang glider. On Sunday I expect similar conditions and options with winds slightly stronger. Dry Canyon might be good, Anapra and Torrey Paso might work for PG's (too light for hang gliders) and maybe Exit 16 will work for HG towing. Again, the Sod Farm and Hwy 9 should be viable for PG towing. Looks like a fairly good weekend for aviation, but don't expect the winds to make ridge soaring an epic endeavor. My own flying might be on Saturday or Sunday at Dry Canyon, if the thermals look good. Enjoy the weekend, and be safe!
-Robin
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Re: Weekend Weather

Postby RobinHastings » Thu Aug 03, 2017 2:55 pm

FRIDAY, AUGUST 4 through SUNDAY, AUGUST 6:
Like last weekend, I expect this one to be warm and dry, with daily high temperatures about 90 degrees F. Forecasted moisture should stay to the north of us this time around. Winds will be a little stronger than last weekend, but still nothing to get worried about, except in Deming where I'd expect a blowout in the afternoon on Saturday and Sunday. It looks like light winds on Friday, mostly from the south. On Saturday, they should be a little stronger (tops about 18 to 20 in Deming, milder elsewhere) and westerly. Sunday, they start out light north/northwest, then go west and southwest later in the day. I'd recommend looking at Dry Canyon on Friday. On Saturday we should have flyable conditions for Dry Canyon, La Luz west launch, Nelson's Launch, Agave Hill, and the Little Floridas (go early). On Sunday Dry Canyon should be working once again, at least in the afternoon. La Luz might be OK if you launch while it's still northwest. And maybe Nelson's Launch will be good in the afternoon for PG's. Towing on Hwy 9, going west, might be a good bet on Saturday, and Sunday afternoon. I don't foresee anything crazy this weekend, so take advantage of the respite in the rain. I hope to go out flying at Dry Canyon Saturday or Sunday; give me a call if you feel like some airtime! Be safe and have fun.
-Robin 575-541-5744
PS - A club campout at Gray Hill is a possibility for next weekend. Long range forecast for conditions don't look too bad up there - and it's certainly cooler than here in the south.
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Re: Weekend Weather

Postby RobinHastings » Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:32 am

FRIDAY, AUGUST 11 through SUNDAY, AUGUST 13:
It looks like a flyable weekend again, but choose your sites with care. Alamogordo could be pretty rainy on Saturday and Sunday, and there may be some thunderstorms for the rest of our area, too. Winds will be light, as usual for this time of the year, and temperatures in the LZ will have highs of low 90's F on Friday and Saturday, high 80's on Sunday. It looks like some east and southeast winds on Friday, except in Alamogordo where they may be southwest. On Saturday, more southerly than easterly, and Sunday, mostly southwest throughout the whole area. Deming should be west winds on Sunday. Recommendations? Dry Canyon and Anapra on Friday, Mag Rim on Saturday, Little Floridas, Mag Rim, Nelson's Launch and Agave Hill on Sunday. Towing at the Sod Farm all weekend, as long as thunderstorms don't come into the region. Drink water, wear a hat, and don't forget that it's still summer! I'm hoping to fly on Friday at Dry Canyon, meeting in the LZ there about 10:30 am. Come and join us if you'd like some summer airtime!
-Robin
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Re: Weekend Weather

Postby RobinHastings » Thu Aug 17, 2017 7:37 am

FRIDAY, AUGUST 18 through SUNDAY, AUGUST 20:
It looks like Friday should be dry and fairly hot, with Saturday and Sunday likely to have thunderstorms and be a bit cooler. Light winds on Friday, southwest in Alamogordo, south in Las Cruces and east in El Paso. Later in the day, the east winds in EP may get strong enough for PG soaring at Anapra. On Saturday it looks like light east in El Paso, east/southeast in Las Cruces, light southwest in Alamogordo. Mostly south by late afternoon. On Sunday, the winds should be light southerly all over our region, then light south/southeast later, and light south/southwest in Alamogordo. So, where to fly? I'd say on Friday, try Dry Canyon. Like a week ago, it might be good at the launch ramp, and flyable if there's no thunderstorm barreling in from the east. Try flying Anapra in a PG after work. On Saturday, it looks like Dry Canyon is again your best bet - except for possible thunderstorms. The forecast winds don't look good for Agave Hill or Nelson's Launch. I'd say the same for Sunday.

For the partial solar eclipse on Monday, I'm not real hopeful for clear skies. If they are clear enough to see the event, DO NOT look at the sun! Even partially eclipsed, it's plenty bright enough to burn out your retinas. Use only REAL eclipse glasses (sunglasses certainly won't do it, nor some of the fakes you might buy on the internet.) I just plan to use an index card with a pinhole in it, and see what kind of image the sun will make onto a second index card. Good enough for what we might, at best, be able to view, which would be the sun looking like a thick crescent moon. Good luck!
-Robin
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Re: Weekend Weather

Postby Bill Cummings » Thu Aug 17, 2017 12:34 pm

If your are concerned about the safety of different shades you will be safe if you go to a welding supply store and buy an affordable #14 welding shade or you can put two #7 shades back to back (stacked) to view the sun whether eclipsed or not.
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