I think you're both right. That's a common situation when there's a lot of unknown information.
Imagine two guys lost in a forest - at night - trying to find water. They both know they should search downslope because water is likely in a valley. But they come to a ridge line with two diverging downward directions. One thinks the water is on the left, and the other thinks it's on the right. If either is convinced to go against their belief, then there may be resentment all along that path. If they can communicate (and the distance isn't too far), then taking different paths improves their chances. From "God's eye" one might be right, but from what they can see it's a coin toss.
The key here is the element of the unknown. USHPA could do a 180 any time ...
- They've lost their insurance.
- They've sold their headquarters building.
- They're losing long term members.
- They're losing long term schools.
- They've lost their (effective) monopoly of FAA tandem waivers.
- They've lost their (literal) monopoly at Dockweiler.
- The U.S. Hawks are growing steadily.
And, to top it off, Mark Forbes was just voted out of his Directorship.
This is a situation with a lot of unknowns. Alan Crouse (current V.P. at USHPA) might be a "sleeper" waiting to rise to the Presidency before fixing this whole mess. The same could be true of our other Region 3 Directors (Ken Andrews and Dan DeWeese). They've all been respectable men in the past. Maybe they're just biding their time?
From where I'm sitting, USHPA could go either way at this point. But what we're doing with the U.S. Hawks doesn't depend on what USHPA does or what USHPA becomes. We want to be a voice and an association for recreational hang gliding pilots regardless of what USHPA becomes. It's in our mission statement, and we're sticking to it.
So from my perspective, there's no conflict with U.S. Hawks members who want to help improve USHPA. In fact every effort to improve USHPA that is resisted by USHPA's leadership shines a bright light on why we need the U.S. Hawks. See the recent (and ancient) open voting discussions on hanggliding.org for a perfect example.
With so many unknowns, Dave's letter could be the wake up call that triggers a land slide, or it could just cause the USHPA insiders to dig in their heels even deeper. But anyone wanting to go down any ravine is welcome by me. Just radio back if you find water!!!