Outlook for the US Paragliding NationalsSoaring parachutists are out to prove something to the world. We get to watch.
First, where is the safest place to fly a paraglider? Torrey Pines comes to mind. The ocean cools the air, making it smooth and well-behaved. This laminar flow meets the cliffs and rises upwards. If you're foolish enough to fly a dangerously-modified, critically-balanced parachute with dubious recovery ability, this is the place to do it.
Now, where is the most dangerous place to fly a paraglider? For that, you need to go inland on a hot day in the summertime. Find a place where it gets really hot down low and pretty cold up high. Now place a little red X where EXPERTS on paragliders have crashed and died over the years and circle the greatest concentration.
Here's a nice bunch of X's on or near Chelan Butte in Washington state, all resulting from canopy collapse in thermal turbulence within the PDMC.
July 8, 1998 Willi Muller, 53, legendary hang gliding pioneer
https://vimeo.com/62506768July 9, 2004 Reese Martin, 49, legendary alpinist
July 17, 2014 David Norwood, 55, USHPA Paragliding Accident Reporting Committee Co-Chairman
What would hang glider pilots say about such a place? Well, obviously, this would be a place never, ever to fly a paraglider.
But what do soaring parachutists say about such a place? They say:
2015 Chelan Cross Country Classic and National Open Distance Championships USHPA Sanctioned HG AND PG Open Distance Competition
National Championship Event
Location: Chelan Butte, Chelan, WA
Event Dates: June 28 - July 3, 2015
Organizer: Lennard Baron & Lori Lawson
Next Weekend: The Best Recipe for Disaster, EverThe wonderful thing about criticizing paragliding is that nobody listens.
http://www.spokesman.com/blogs/outdoors/2014/jul/18/paragliding-safety-questioned-after-chelan-butte-fatality/You say,
You shouldn't do that because you're likely to get maimed or killed when your paraglider collapses in thermal turbulence, nobody listens, and off they go and get maimed or killed when their paragliders collapse in thermal turbulence. You say,
See, I told you so, but nobody listens and off they go again the next year.
So, how hot was it on the day my friend Willi Muller died?
Thirty miles south, at the Pangborn Memorial Airport in Wenatchee, the maximum temperature recorded that day was 89F. The dew point was 53F. The highest wind gust was recorded at 17 mph with an average wind speed of 11 mph.
How hot was it when Reese Martin died?
The maximum temperature recorded that day was 82F. The dew point was 44F. The highest wind gust was recorded at 23 mph with an average wind speed of 10 mph.
How hot was it when David Norwood died?
The maximum temperature recorded that day was 88F. The dew point was 40F. The highest wind gust was recorded at 33 mph with an average wind speed of 20 mph.
_______________________
Special Statement -- US Wearher Service
Statement as of 2:04 PM PDT on June 22, 2015
... Very hot temperatures return to eastern Oregon and
Washington this weekend...
High temperatures will remain in the 80s throughout the lower
Columbia Basin until Wednesday. Then a warm up will begin
Thursday and Friday with temperatures climbing into the 90s to
near 100. The real heat wave arrives over the weekend and continue
into next week with temperatures 100 to 110 degrees. This would
amount to record high temperatures during this period for many
locations. High temperatures in the mountains will be in the 90s
which would also be record setting.
Persons are urged to use caution when participating in outdoor
activities such as working or recreational events as heat
exhaustion or stroke can easily occur. If you do not have air
conditioning in your home plan an Outing that takes you to an air
conditioned location for at least part of the day. Drink plenty
of water or your favorite thirst quencher beverage to prevent
dehydration.
The heat wave is expected to continue for several days. Heat
advisories will likely be issued as the event draws closer._________________________
So how hot is it forecast to be next Saturday, June 27, the practice day on the eve of the U.S. Paragliding Nationals?
106F !!!!!Sunday, 105F. Monday, 104F.
That's right. Paragliders want to prove something. We get to watch.
On August 1, 2009, the maximum temperature recorded in Wenatchee was 107F, a record. Winds were calm until 3 pm, when they suddenly rose to near 30 mph and gusts reached 39 mph! That's right. Too dangerous for hang gliding, much less paragliding.
Look what happened.
At 3 pm the wind was calm. Over the next 60 minutes the winds rose steadily to 28 mph, followed by gusts well over 30. (Compare to David Norwood's chart.)
How many paragliders will be in the air in the middle of the afternoon? The entire field? Really?
Paragliders want to prove something. We get to watch. I am bringing my red pen.